Adaptations to (un)predictable environmental change

Adaptations to (un)predictable environmental change

The four different classes of adaptive strategies that evolve in response to different timescales and predictability of environmental change (from Botero et al. 2015).
Environmental variation is becoming more frequent and unpredictable as a consequence of anthropogenic change, yet we currently lack the tools to evaluate the extent to which organisms can adapt to this phenomenon. Adaptations to predictable short-term environmental variation should favour reversible or irreversible (developmental) plasticity, whilst unpredictable long-term environmental variation will favour bet-hedging and adaptive tracking. A fundamental challenge here is in defining such adaptive phenomena for phenotypes that vary hierarchically among species, populations, genotypes and individuals, and also within individuals for repeatedly expressed labile phenotypic traits (behaviour, physiology and morphology). To address this challenge, we combine approaches from behavioural ecology and quantitative genetics, using statistical models and the concept of the reaction norm to explore phenotypic variation among individuals alongside within-individual plasticity in labile phenotypes. Working at the interface between theoretical and empirical research, we are involved in a wide range of activities from the development of mathematical models and wider conceptual frameworks to detailed life history and behavioural studies on vertebrates in the field and laboratory.

Current Research

  • Producer-scrounger social behaviour game theoretical modelling and empirical tests in foraging flocks of house sparrows.
  • Phenotypic plasticity to predictable and unpredictable environmental variation in evolutionary models and in zebrafish behavioural responses to temperature variation.
  • Pace-of-life syndromes (POLS) and phenotypic (co-)variation in eco-evolutionary models of life history, in selected lines of captive zebrafish, and in natural populations of wild house sparrows.

People in the research group

Study Species

One of our study species, the zebrafish (Danio rerio).

Who are we?

Who are we?

Jonathan Wright (Prof.) is an evolutionary behavioural ecologist who has worked on the evolution of cooperation in various systems of biparental care, parent-offspring conflict and cooperatively breeding birds.

Yimen Araya-Aroy (Post-doc) did his PhD on the adaptive causes and evolutionary consequences of multi-level variation in labile characters in great tits at the Max-Planck Institute at Seewiesen in Germany and is currently working on POLS in a meta-population of wild house sparrows.

Mette Helene Finnøen (PhD) did her masters on personality and pace-of-life behavioural syndromes the house sparrow, and is currently working on physiology and repeatable between-individual variation in behaviour using captive populations of wild zebrafish.

PhD and Master projects

PhD and Master projects

  • Mette Helene Finnøen (PhD): Evolution of thermal tolerance and its relation to pace-of-life syndromes
  • Nils Håkon Pettersen (Masters): Indirect social effects of the individual strategy in producer-scrounger foraging interactions in sparrows
  • Talal Mohammad (Masters): Social Foraging: individual variation and indirect social effects in producer-scrounger behaviour in the House Sparrow, Passer domesticus
  • Astrid A. Carlsen (Masters, starts Aug 2017): Testing the marginal value theorem in foraging dives within trips and across provisioning trips in parent European shags

Selected publications

Selected publications

Araya-Ajoy, Y.G. and Dingemanse, N.J. 2017. Repeatability, heritability, and age-dependence in the aggressiveness reaction norms of a wild passerine bird. Journal of Animal Ecology 86, 227-238.

Wright, J. and McDonald, P.G. 2016. Kin selected helping decisions of the bell miner. Cooperative breeding in vertebrates: Studies of ecology, evolution, and behavior (eds W.D. Koenig & J.L. Dickinson)

Araya-Ajoy, Y.G., Mathot, K.J. and Dingemanse, N.J. 2015. An approach to estimate short-term, long-term and reaction norm repeatability. Methods in Ecology and Evolution 6, 1462–1473.

Westneat, D.F., Wright, J. and Dingemanse, N.J. 2015. The biology hidden inside residual within-individual phenotypic variation. Biological Reviews 90, 729–743. 

Botero, C.A., Weissing, F.J., Wright, J. and Rubenstein, D.R. 2015. Evolutionary tipping points in the capacity to adapt to environmental change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 112, 184–189

Westneat, D.F., Schofield, M. and Wright, J. 2013. Parental behavior exhibits among-individual variance, plasticity, and heterogeneous residual variance. Behavioral Ecology 24, 598–604