Course - Risk Based Decision Making in Civil Engineering - KT8310
Risk Based Decision Making in Civil Engineering
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About the course
Course content
Introduction to decision under uncertainty by the some motivating examples that will be revisited throughout the course, e.g.: optimal design of a structural component exposed to a time variable load, design of a rock fall gallery, design of a protection structure against terrorist attack, design of a component exposed to fatigue loading, maintenance and repair of that component, design assisted by laboratory tests.\\Advanced review on probability theory and statistics.\\Probabilistic Models (general concepts, but also specifically probabilistic representation of e.g. material resistance, material deterioration, loads, natural hazards, malevolence, accidents, human error ).\\Uncertainty propagation (functions of random variables, Monte Carlo + variance reducing methods, structural reliability methods, sensitivity analysis ).\\Learning models (Maximum Likelihood, Bayesian parameter estimation, ).\\Bayesian Networks and Influence diagrams.\\Bayesian Decision Theory.\\Broader topics: Risk acceptance criteria, representation of Robustness, Resilience and Sustainability, etc.\\
Learning outcome
The student learns, e.g.:to relate practical engineering problems to formal decision theory.to identify systems that represent the engineering decision problems.to develop probabilistic models for the system representation.to apply methods of structural reliability.to assess how save is safe enough.
Learning methods and activities
Lectures and selfstudy
Compulsory assignments
- Project
Further on evaluation
The students will write a project report on a topic that will be agreed on between the lecturer and the candidate. The topic might cover features of the candidates own PhD project and will cover a sufficiently large fraction of the course content. The report should document work corresponding to one full working week.
Recommended previous knowledge
TMA4255 - Applied Statistics or similar.
Required previous knowledge
Students are expected to have a Civil Engineering background.
Course materials
Lecture Notes, recommended books
Subject areas
- Engineering
- Safety and Reliability
- Design of Experiments
- Structural Engineering
- Statistics
- Engineering Subjects